术语“平滑方法”的详细信息

英译术语:

smoothing method

汉语语境:

对传统指数平滑法进行改进，将其参数动态化，使得模型随预测过程自动更新，从而保证了预测的实时性、客观性。以最小预测误差平方和(SSE)为优化目标建立动态指数平滑参数和初值的优化模型，并通过迭代优化法求解。通过动态指数平滑模型，传统方法的一些缺陷，如模型参数选取的主观性、易导致预测偏差等被有效解决。预测实例表明，新方法优于传统指数平滑方法。

英语语境:

Traditional exponential smoothing is improved by making parameters dynamic so that the model is automatically updated with the forecasting process, thus ensuring predictable real-time, objective. Minimum prediction error sum of squares (SSE) for the optimization goal to establish Optimized dynamic exponential smoothing model parameters and initial value, and through an iterative optimization method for solving. Some drawbacks dynamic exponential smoothing model in the traditional methods, such as the subjectivity of selecting the model parameters, easily lead to the prediction deviation is effectively resolved. Prediction examples show that the new method is better than the traditional method of exponential smoothing.